Jerome Powell federally charged

OpenOutcomes2as of

Market pricing makes December 31, 2026 the favorite at 2% across 2 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

7 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

June 30, 2026stockmktnewz98%match99¢+1%
Jerome Powell's last day as chairman of the United States Fed is • • THIS FRIDAY
June 30, 2026axios98%match97¢+3%
DOJ drops criminal probe into Fed chair Jerome Powell
June 30, 2026axios98%match97¢+3%
BREAKING: DOJ drops criminal probe into Fed chair Jerome Powell
June 30, 2026axios.com98%match97¢+3%
DOJ drops criminal probe into Fed chair Jerome Powell
June 30, 2026cnn.com98%match97¢+3%
Jeanine Pirro drops criminal probe of Jerome Powell
June 30, 2026Axios99%match88¢+14%
The world's most powerful central bankers are rallying behind Jerome Powell
June 30, 2026BNO News99%match13¢-100%
Jerome Powell has a 53% chance of being charged with a federal crime according to @Kalshi

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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