JD Vance out as VP
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Market pricing makes December 31 the favorite at 4% across 4 tracked outcomes, as of .
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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
HAPPENING TODAY: Vice President JD Vance will take the podium for the White House press briefing today, the Trump administration's first press briefing in more than 40 days and the first since former press secretary Karoline Leavitt's departure. • • @MikeEmanuelFox shares the details of what the vice president is expected to address, including President Trump's travel plans ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.
VP @JDVance and the @WHFraudTF exposing criminals for defrauding taxpayers is exactly what I voted for
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance ceases to be Vice-President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vance's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance and the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.