Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats?
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Market pricing makes 8-9 the favorite at 56% across 5 tracked outcomes, as of .
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An Israeli poll by the official broadcasting authority: Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party has dropped to 20 seats, compared to 24 for Gadi Eisenkot's Yesh Atid party. Naftali Bennett's Ma'an party is in third place with 12 seats, while Otzma Yehudit and Yisrael Beiteinu have each gained 8 seats. The poll leaves Netanyahu's bloc and the opposition tied at 52 seats each, while the Arab parties are projected to win 12 seats. The results come ahead of the elections scheduled for October 27, where any government needs 61 seats to form.
What is this event about?
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).