Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?
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Market pricing makes 7-8 the favorite at 95% across 4 tracked outcomes, as of .
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FWD from Direct Polls | Direct Pulse: i24NEWS mandate poll via Direct Pulse, 40 days to the election (in brackets: change compared to last week's poll): - Likud 27 (unchanged), Yeshar 21 (-1), Democrats 10 (1+), Together 9 (1-1), United Torah Judaism 8 (unchanged), Yisrael Beiteinu 8 (1+), Otzma Yehudit 7 (1-1), Shas 7 (unchanged), Joint List 7 (unchanged), Religious Zionism - Zehut 6 (unchanged), Amach Yisrael 5 (1+), Ra'am 5 (unchanged). - Second week in a row: 60-60 blocs tied. - Eisenkot completes a 3-seat loss in one month. - In the sector of ultra-Orthodox parties that do not pass the threshold, the line The separatist black color occupies a much more significant volume than the integration line of the Haredi public (Leitner) and the others. The one paying the main price for the loss of these mandates is the Shas party.
FWD from Direct Polls | Direct Pulse: i24NEWS mandate poll via Direct Pulse, 40 days to the election (in brackets: change compared to last week's poll): - Likud 27 (unchanged), Yeshar 21 (-1), Democrats 10 (1+), Together 9 (1-1), United Torah Judaism 8 (unchanged), Yisrael Beiteinu 8 (1+), Otzma Yehudit 7 (1-1), Shas 7 (unchanged), Joint List 7 (unchanged), Religious Zionism - Zehut 6 (unchanged), Amach Yisrael 5 (1+), Ra'am 5 (unchanged). - Second week in a row: 60-60 blocs tied. - Eisenkot completes a 3-seat loss in one month. - In the sector of ultra-Orthodox parties that do not pass the threshold, the line The separatist black color occupies a much more significant volume than the integration line of the Haredi public (Leitner) and the others. The one paying the main price for the loss of these mandates is the Shas party.
FWD from Direct Polls | Direct Pulse: i24NEWS mandate poll via Direct Pulse, 40 days to the election (in brackets: change compared to last week's poll): - Likud 27 (unchanged), Yeshar 21 (-1), Democrats 10 (1+), Together 9 (1-1), United Torah Judaism 8 (unchanged), Yisrael Beiteinu 8 (1+), Otzma Yehudit 7 (1-1), Shas 7 (unchanged), Joint List 7 (unchanged), Religious Zionism - Zehut 6 (unchanged), Amach Yisrael 5 (1+), Ra'am 5 (unchanged). - Second week in a row: 60-60 blocs tied. - Eisenkot completes a 3-seat loss in one month. - In the sector of ultra-Orthodox parties that do not pass the threshold, the line The separatist black color occupies a much more significant volume than the integration line of the Haredi public (Leitner) and the others. The one paying the main price for the loss of these mandates is the Shas party.
More from News 13 poll: United Torah Judaism and Shas 7 seats each Leitner's Haredi Public Party with 1.8%
More from News 13 poll: United Torah Judaism and Shas 7 seats each Leitner's Haredi Public Party with 1.8%
More from News 13 poll: United Torah Judaism and Shas 7 seats each Leitner's Haredi Public Party with 1.8%
More from News 13 poll: United Torah Judaism and Shas 7 seats each Leitner's Haredi Public Party with 1.8%
What is this event about?
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).