Israel closes its airspace

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Market pricing makes September 30 the favorite at 6% across 19 tracked outcomes, as of .

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What moved the odds?

17 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

September 30israelnews2392%match10¢-40%
Focus: The drama at Ben Gurion Airport. Airlines have been informed: "If there are no changes – Ben Gurion Airport will be closed at 2:00 PM" (12)
August 31israelnews2392%match4¢-100%
Focus: The drama at Ben Gurion Airport. Airlines have been informed: "If there are no changes – Ben Gurion Airport will be closed at 2:00 PM" (12)
July 31iranintlbrk95%match78¢+28%
The head of the Israel Airports Authority announced that there is no intention to close the country's airspace, even under the current security conditions. Yeftah Ron Tal emphasized that even if new American tanker planes enter Israel, no passenger flights will be canceled.
August 15iranintlbrk95%match68¢+47%
The head of the Israel Airports Authority announced that there is no intention to close the country's airspace, even under the current security conditions. Yeftah Ron Tal emphasized that even if new American tanker planes enter Israel, no passenger flights will be canceled.
July 24iranintlbrk95%match90¢+11%
The head of the Israel Airports Authority announced that there is no intention to close the country's airspace, even under the current security conditions. Yeftah Ron Tal emphasized that even if new American tanker planes enter Israel, no passenger flights will be canceled.
July 31Channel 12 (N12)99%match90¢+11%
Dean Fisher The Airports Authority clarifies: In continuation of the rumor mill and incorrect publications - we would like to clarify that there is no change in the guidelines, all airports in Israel are operating as usual and passenger traffic is constantly increasing.
July 15Channel 12 (N12)99%match95¢+5%
Dean Fisher The Airports Authority clarifies: In continuation of the rumor mill and incorrect publications - we would like to clarify that there is no change in the guidelines, all airports in Israel are operating as usual and passenger traffic is constantly increasing.
August 31Channel 12 (N12)99%match79¢+27%
Dean Fisher The Airports Authority clarifies: In continuation of the rumor mill and incorrect publications - we would like to clarify that there is no change in the guidelines, all airports in Israel are operating as usual and passenger traffic is constantly increasing.
July 15iranintlbrk98%match92¢+9%
The European Union Aviation Safety Agency has lowered the risk level for flights over Israel to "medium", leaving the decision on whether to resume flights to airlines.
July 15iranintlbrk99%match93¢+8%
EU aviation safety agency lowers risk level for flights over Israel to 'medium', leaves decision on resuming flights to airlines
May 31n12news99%match69¢+45%
Great news for Israelis before summer: Low-cost giant Wizz Air returns to Israel on May 28 @Dean_Fisher_
June 30iranintlbrk99%match62¢+61%
Lufthansa announced that it will gradually resume flights to Israel from June 1.
June 30n12news99%match62¢+61%
Starting in June: Lufthansa Group will gradually resume its flights to Israel @Dean_Fisher_
May 31ynet.co.il98%match69¢+45%
Starting June 1: Lufthansa will gradually resume its flights to Israel
May 31almayadeenlive98%match26¢-100%
Israeli media: Ben Gurion Airport has been transformed into an American military airport, and Israel no longer has a fully operational international airport.
May 31n12news98%match77¢+30%
The effects of the war on Ben Gurion Airport: About 200 employees were put on unpaid leave while operations were reduced and the major foreign airlines still refuse to return to operations in Israel. @Dean_Fisher_
May 31Channel 12 (N12)98%match77¢+30%
Dean Fisher The effects of the war on Ben Gurion Airport: About 200 employees were put on unpaid leave while operations were reduced and the major foreign airlines still refuse to return to operations in Israel.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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