Iowa Governor Election Winner
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Market pricing makes Rob Sand (D) the favorite at 91% across 13 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
15 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Hinson leads Iowa Senate contest as Sand holds edge for governor: Poll Rep. Ashley Hinson (R-Iowa) leads her Democratic opponent Josh Turek for Iowa’s open Senate seat as Democratic state auditor Rob Sand holds an edge over his GOP opponent Zach Lahn in the gubernatorial contest, according to a new poll from Emerson College Polling and The Hill. The poll reported Hinson notched 47 percent of support,…
Hinson leads Iowa Senate contest as Sand holds edge for governor: Poll Rep. Ashley Hinson (R-Iowa) leads her Democratic opponent Josh Turek for Iowa’s open Senate seat as Democratic state auditor Rob Sand holds an edge over his GOP opponent Zach Lahn in the gubernatorial contest, according to a new poll from Emerson College Polling and The Hill. The poll reported Hinson notched 47 percent of support,…
Live: Kansas Gov. Laura Kelly lends her support to fellow Democrat Rob Sand in his bid for Iowa governor
88% chance Democrats win the Iowa Governor race — Polymarket • •
88% chance Democrats win the Iowa Governor race — Polymarket • •
DDHQ FORECAST UPDATE: Iowa Governor • • Our polling average for the 2026 Iowa Governor race is now live, and Democrat Rob Sand leads Republican Zach Lahn by 5.9 percentage points. • • Iowa last elected a Democratic governor in 2006. • • We'll continue updating this average as new polling becomes available.
DDHQ FORECAST UPDATE: Iowa Governor • • Our polling average for the 2026 Iowa Governor race is now live, and Democrat Rob Sand leads Republican Zach Lahn by 5.9 percentage points. • • Iowa last elected a Democratic governor in 2006. • • We'll continue updating this average as new polling becomes available.
Rob Sand (D)Democratic state auditor Rob Sand is leading Republican businessman Zach Lahn in the tense Iowa governor’s race, new polling shows, while Democrat Josh Turek trails Republican Rep. Ashley Hinson in the wide-open Senate race. A new Emerson College Polling/Nexstar Media Iowa survey found Sand with 49 percent of voters in the gubernatorial race, compared to…94%match77¢+18%
Sand holds edge over Lahn in Iowa governor’s race while Hinson leads Turek for Senate: Poll
Zach Lahn (R)Democratic state auditor Rob Sand is leading Republican businessman Zach Lahn in the tense Iowa governor’s race, new polling shows, while Democrat Josh Turek trails Republican Rep. Ashley Hinson in the wide-open Senate race. A new Emerson College Polling/Nexstar Media Iowa survey found Sand with 49 percent of voters in the gubernatorial race, compared to…92%match75¢+20%
Sand holds edge over Lahn in Iowa governor’s race while Hinson leads Turek for Senate: Poll
Decision Desk HQ Iowa Governor Forecast (9/2): • • Probabilities: • Sand: 58% • Lahn: 42%
Decision Desk HQ Iowa Governor Forecast (9/2): • • Probabilities: • Sand: 58% • Lahn: 42%
It is my Great Honor to endorse America First Patriot, Zach Lahn, a tremendous Candidate running to be the next Governor of the Wonderful State of Iowa, a place I love and WON BIG in 2016, 2020, and 2024! As a Sixth Generation Iowan, and a very successful Businessman, Zach knows the AMERICA FIRST Policies required to Grow our Economy, Create GREAT Jobs, Cut Taxes and Regulations, Promote MADE IN THE U.S.A., and Unleash American Energy DOMINANCE. As a Family Farmer, Zach is an incredibly effective Voice for Iowa Agriculture, our amazing Farmers and Ranchers, and Making America Healthy Again! As your next Governor, Zach will work tirelessly to Safeguard our Elections, Keep our Border SECURE, Stop Migrant Crime, Ensure LAW AND ORDER, Strengthen our Incredible Military/Veterans, and Protect our always under siege Second Amendment. Zach Lahn has my Complete and Total Endorsement to be the next Governor of Iowa — HE WILL NEVER LET YOU DOWN!
75% Democrats win the Iowa Governor Race • •
G.O.P. Fatigue in Iowa Strains the Republican Primary for Governor
Iowa Is Ruby Red. A Democrat There Is Worrying Republicans Anyway.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.