In which month will Anthropic IPO?
Open17as of
Market pricing makes October 2026 the favorite at 85% across 17 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
"All signs point to a very strong IPO." Joined @SquawkCNBC and @andrewrsorkin this morning to talk Anthropic — a prospectus likely right after Labor Day, an October listing, and revenue growth that hasn't slowed despite open source and the competition. • •
Anthropic Overtakes SpaceX In Betting Odds For 2026’s Biggest IPO. • Anthropic is expected to make an initial public offering as soon as October, with reports indicating its valuation could range between $1 trillion and $2 trillion.
scoop: Anthropic IPO filing will show AI backlash as a risk factor, sources say • • Anthropic is poised to hit the public market at a time when an increasing number of Americans are loudly are opposing new data centers. That backlash is expected to be a key risk factor in Anthropic’s IPO prospectus, according to people familiar with matter. • • @CNBC :
What is this event about?
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.