How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
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Market pricing makes 140-159 the favorite at 70% across 7 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
9 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
SpaceX Successfully Launches 100th Rocket This Year… “Achieves 100 Launches for 3 Consecutive Years”
76% chance SpaceX has more than 150 launches in 2026.
76% chance SpaceX has more than 150 launches in 2026.
76% chance SpaceX has more than 150 launches in 2026.
76% chance SpaceX has more than 150 launches in 2026.
76% chance SpaceX has more than 150 launches in 2026.
SpaceX just completed its 90th Falcon-family launch of 2026 • • Falcon 9 lifted off from Vandenberg carrying 24 Starlink satellites, successfully deploying all of them into low Earth orbit • • Booster B1081 completed its 26th mission and landed on Of Course I Still Love You in the Pacific • • That is 89 Falcon 9 launches and one Falcon Heavy mission in just seven months
SpaceX just completed its 90th Falcon-family launch of 2026 • • Falcon 9 lifted off from Vandenberg carrying 24 Starlink satellites, successfully deploying all of them into low Earth orbit • • Booster B1081 completed its 26th mission and landed on Of Course I Still Love You in the Pacific • • That is 89 Falcon 9 launches and one Falcon Heavy mission in just seven months
SpaceX just completed its 90th Falcon-family launch of 2026 • • Falcon 9 lifted off from Vandenberg carrying 24 Starlink satellites, successfully deploying all of them into low Earth orbit • • Booster B1081 completed its 26th mission and landed on Of Course I Still Love You in the Pacific • • That is 89 Falcon 9 launches and one Falcon Heavy mission in just seven months
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.