How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?
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Market pricing makes 325–339 the favorite at 34% across 7 tracked outcomes, as of .
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In the September State Duma elections, United Russia is projected to garner at least 55% of the votes on party lists. However, according to surveys by leading Russian pollsters, United Russia's support level currently fluctuates between 28% and 39%. However, the current rating does not equate to the election result, the expert reassured United Russia members: voter discipline is no less important, and United Russia is doing better in this regard than anyone else. Meanwhile, on April 24, the United Russia Duma faction held an off-site meeting, during which the outgoing deputies were briefed on the work to update the ideological and practical components of the "People's Program." Particular attention was paid to the ruling party's electoral ratings. The offsite meeting, which was held behind closed doors at the party's central executive committee building, was announced the previous afternoon and came as a surprise to many United Russia members. Several sources within United Russia told Kommersant that some deputies even had to return their tickets to their home cities, where they traditionally travel for "regional week." Subscribe to Kommersant on Telegram | MAX | Leave boosts
In the September State Duma elections, United Russia is projected to garner at least 55% of the votes on party lists. However, according to surveys by leading Russian pollsters, United Russia's support level currently fluctuates between 28% and 39%. However, the current rating does not equate to the election result, the expert reassured United Russia members: voter discipline is no less important, and United Russia is doing better in this regard than anyone else. Meanwhile, on April 24, the United Russia Duma faction held an off-site meeting, during which the outgoing deputies were briefed on the work to update the ideological and practical components of the "People's Program." Particular attention was paid to the ruling party's electoral ratings. The offsite meeting, which was held behind closed doors at the party's central executive committee building, was announced the previous afternoon and came as a surprise to many United Russia members. Several sources within United Russia told Kommersant that some deputies even had to return their tickets to their home cities, where they traditionally travel for "regional week." Subscribe to Kommersant on Telegram | MAX | Leave boosts
In the September State Duma elections, United Russia is projected to garner at least 55% of the votes on party lists. However, according to surveys by leading Russian pollsters, United Russia's support level currently fluctuates between 28% and 39%. However, the current rating does not equate to the election result, the expert reassured United Russia members: voter discipline is no less important, and United Russia is doing better in this regard than anyone else. Meanwhile, on April 24, the United Russia Duma faction held an off-site meeting, during which the outgoing deputies were briefed on the work to update the ideological and practical components of the "People's Program." Particular attention was paid to the ruling party's electoral ratings. The offsite meeting, which was held behind closed doors at the party's central executive committee building, was announced the previous afternoon and came as a surprise to many United Russia members. Several sources within United Russia told Kommersant that some deputies even had to return their tickets to their home cities, where they traditionally travel for "regional week." Subscribe to Kommersant on Telegram | MAX | Leave boosts
In the September State Duma elections, United Russia is projected to garner at least 55% of the votes on party lists. However, according to surveys by leading Russian pollsters, United Russia's support level currently fluctuates between 28% and 39%. However, the current rating does not equate to the election result, the expert reassured United Russia members: voter discipline is no less important, and United Russia is doing better in this regard than anyone else. Meanwhile, on April 24, the United Russia Duma faction held an off-site meeting, during which the outgoing deputies were briefed on the work to update the ideological and practical components of the "People's Program." Particular attention was paid to the ruling party's electoral ratings. The offsite meeting, which was held behind closed doors at the party's central executive committee building, was announced the previous afternoon and came as a surprise to many United Russia members. Several sources within United Russia told Kommersant that some deputies even had to return their tickets to their home cities, where they traditionally travel for "regional week." Subscribe to Kommersant on Telegram | MAX | Leave boosts
What is this event about?
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.