Highest temperature in Moscow on September 10?

OpenOutcomes11as of

Market pricing makes 25°C the favorite at 100% across 11 tracked outcomes, as of .

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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

25°C100%

What moved the odds?

6 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

25°CRussian Media92%match3¢-100%
A quick look at the weather at this hour: Muscovites are toasting buns on the hottest day of Indian summer The thermometer has already exceeded 27°C, and many have grabbed their swimsuits and headed to the capital's beaches. How are you spending this day? — Sunbathing — Steaming in the office SHOT at MAX:
19°CRussian Media92%match100¢
A quick look at the weather at this hour: Muscovites are toasting buns on the hottest day of Indian summer The thermometer has already exceeded 27°C, and many have grabbed their swimsuits and headed to the capital's beaches. How are you spending this day? — Sunbathing — Steaming in the office SHOT at MAX:
20°CRussian Media92%match100¢
A quick look at the weather at this hour: Muscovites are toasting buns on the hottest day of Indian summer The thermometer has already exceeded 27°C, and many have grabbed their swimsuits and headed to the capital's beaches. How are you spending this day? — Sunbathing — Steaming in the office SHOT at MAX:
24°CRussian Media92%match100¢
A quick look at the weather at this hour: Muscovites are toasting buns on the hottest day of Indian summer The thermometer has already exceeded 27°C, and many have grabbed their swimsuits and headed to the capital's beaches. How are you spending this day? — Sunbathing — Steaming in the office SHOT at MAX:
27°CRussian Media92%match100¢
A quick look at the weather at this hour: Muscovites are toasting buns on the hottest day of Indian summer The thermometer has already exceeded 27°C, and many have grabbed their swimsuits and headed to the capital's beaches. How are you spending this day? — Sunbathing — Steaming in the office SHOT at MAX:
A quick look at the weather at this hour: Muscovites are toasting buns on the hottest day of Indian summer The thermometer has already exceeded 27°C, and many have grabbed their swimsuits and headed to the capital's beaches. How are you spending this day? — Sunbathing — Steaming in the office SHOT at MAX:

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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