Georgia Senate Election Winner
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Market pricing makes Jon Ossoff (D) the favorite at 96% across 13 tracked outcomes, as of .
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20 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
97% chance Jon Ossoff wins the Georgia Senate race — Polymarket • •
Live: Representative Mike Collins, the Republican challenger, will have to find a way to speak to independent voters, as polls suggest he trails Senator Jon Ossoff with that group in particular. Ossoff, for his part, has cultivated a reputation for delivering a strong rally speech with the kind of zingy lines that can go viral on social media video clips. He will be expected to do the same on the debate stage, in a less controlled environment.
Live: Representative Mike Collins, the Republican challenger, will have to find a way to speak to independent voters, as polls suggest he trails Senator Jon Ossoff with that group in particular. Ossoff, for his part, has cultivated a reputation for delivering a strong rally speech with the kind of zingy lines that can go viral on social media video clips. He will be expected to do the same on the debate stage, in a less controlled environment.
Live: Not long ago, Georgia looked like it might be one of the tighter Senate contests of the midterms: Georgia remains a difficult state for Democrats to win, and Jon Ossoff is the only Democratic incumbent seeking re-election in a state that President Trump won in 2024. But the race has tilted away from Republicans in recent months, so the pressure will be on the Republican challenger, Representative Mike Collins, to show during tonight’s debate that he is still in the fight.
Live: Don’t let Senator Jon Ossoff’s huge fund-raising hauls make you think differently — he’s still aggressively raising money for his re-election run in Georgia. The Democratic incumbent will be in Chicago for an event on Oct. 20, per an invitation I’ve seen. He’s very much up in the polls in Georgia, and very much ahead of his Republican challenger, Mike Collins, in fund-raising. Why not raise a little more?
Yesterday in our Huddle Senate Meter segment, we basically said "game over" in Georgia and N.C. — with Senate Dems all but locking down both states. • • But even with Ossoff's coattails, it's still hard for me to see Keisha Lance Bottoms beating Rick Jackson -- despite what traders are saying here...
Ossoff's strength in Georgia is especially notable compared to the competitive race in Michigan. Those are the 2 Trump-won states Democrats are defending on the Senate map. • • You can see DDHQ's Senate forecast here: •
GOP chair of Georgia Peanut Commission backs Ossoff for Senate The Republican chair of the Georgia Peanut Commission is backing Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff (Ga.) in his bid for a second full term. “We don’t necessarily elect a party,” commission Chair Donald Chase told The Atlanta Journal-Constitution (AJC). “I like to support people that I can get behind and believe in.” Chase, whom board members…
The GOP Senate-aligned Senate Leadership Fund pumps $1.7M into the Georgia Senate race as Majority Leader John Thune stumps for Mike Collins in Atlanta tonight. #gapol
The latest YouGov poll: • • Senate • Jon Ossoff 51 Mike Collins 41 • Gov • Rick Jackson 45 Keisha Lance Bottoms 44 • Trump approval 39
94% chance Jon Ossoff wins the Georgia Senate race — Polymarket • •
Georgia U.S. Senate Fundraising — FEC • • Jon Ossoff • $98.0M ($42.6M Cash on Hand) • • Mike Collins • $7.4M ($2.1M Cash on Hand)
Senate Majority Leader Thune tells @burgessev he’s not ready to give up on Mike Collins yet. But two-time NRSC chair, Sen. John Cornyn, says “Georgia looks like it’s pretty close to done. And North Carolina seems to be close to that.” #gapol • •
Republican Senate nominee Mike Collins is holding a roundtable and fundraising reception with Gov. Brian Kemp and Senate Majority Leader John Thune next week in Atlanta. Republicans are rallying reinforcements for Collins, who trails Sen. Jon Ossoff in polls. #gapol
The same polling firm had Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff with a 9-point lead over Republican challenger Mike Collins yesterday. #gapol
U.S. Sen. Jon Ossoff is tapping his fundraising operation to transfer more than $3.6 million into the Democratic Party of Georgia’s coordinated campaign, deploying his resources in a race tilting in his direction to help down-ballot candidates. #gapol • •
Sen. Jon Ossoff leads Republican challenger Mike Collins in every major public poll, holds a massive fundraising advantage and is now trying to peel away GOP voters. At his Sunday rally in Atlanta, Ossoff made plain that he sees no reason to let up. #gapol
Sen. Jon Ossoff leads Republican challenger Mike Collins in every major public poll, holds a massive fundraising advantage and is now trying to peel away GOP voters. At his Sunday rally in Atlanta, Ossoff made plain that he sees no reason to let up. #gapol
The DDHQ Forecast rates Georgia's Senate race as Likely Democratic. • • Incumbent Senator Jon Ossoff has a 77% win probability, with a projected final margin of 53% for Ossoff and 47% for Republican Mike Collins.
In the DDHQ Forecast, Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff is likely to win re-election, with a win probability of 76%. • • The projected vote share is 53% for Ossoff and 47% for Republican challenger Mike Collins.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.