Georgia Senate Election Winner

OpenOutcomes13as of

Market pricing makes Jon Ossoff (D) the favorite at 94% across 13 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

4 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Jon Ossoff (D)AJC Reporter95%match93¢+1%
Sen. Jon Ossoff leads Republican challenger Mike Collins in every major public poll, holds a massive fundraising advantage and is now trying to peel away GOP voters. At his Sunday rally in Atlanta, Ossoff made plain that he sees no reason to let up. #gapol
Sen. Jon Ossoff leads Republican challenger Mike Collins in every major public poll, holds a massive fundraising advantage and is now trying to peel away GOP voters. At his Sunday rally in Atlanta, Ossoff made plain that he sees no reason to let up. #gapol
The DDHQ Forecast rates Georgia's Senate race as Likely Democratic. • • Incumbent Senator Jon Ossoff has a 77% win probability, with a projected final margin of 53% for Ossoff and 47% for Republican Mike Collins.
In the DDHQ Forecast, Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff is likely to win re-election, with a win probability of 76%. • • The projected vote share is 53% for Ossoff and 47% for Republican challenger Mike Collins.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

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