French election called
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Market pricing makes December 31, 2026 the favorite at 5% across 9 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
FRENCH GOVERNMENT SURVIVES SECOND NO-CONFIDENCE VOTE IN PARLIAMENT OVER NEW ENERGY LAW - VOTE TALLY
FRENCH GOVERNMENT SURVIVES SECOND NO-CONFIDENCE VOTE IN PARLIAMENT OVER NEW ENERGY LAW - VOTE TALLY
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French parlimentary election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.