Florida Republican Senate Primary Winner
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This hub tracks 19 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
14 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
5 takeaways from Florida Senate primary: GOP Sen Ashley Moody will face DSA's Nixon
Florida Senate race set between Ashley Moody and Angie Nixon
Live: Florida has gotten the governor’s race it expected, between Byron Donalds, the Republican, and David Jolly, the Democrat. It has gotten a hugely unexpected Senate race between Ashley Moody, the incumbent Republican, and Angie Nixon, a progressive state lawmaker.
Live: Sen. Ashley Moody wins Republican nomination to finish Marco Rubio’s term
Live: Sen. Ashley Moody projected to win GOP nod in Florida special Senate primary
NBC News projects: • • Angie Nixon wins the Democratic primary in Florida's Senate race, defeating Alex Vindman. • • Appointed Sen. Ashley Moody wins the Republican primary for her seat.
Decision Desk HQ projects Ashley Moody wins the Florida US Senate Republican Special Election Primary • • #DecisionMade: 8:00 PM EDT
Live: Sen. Ashley Moody will win GOP special Senate primary in Florida, CNN projects
Live: Incumbent Ashley Moody wins the Republican Senate primary special in Florida, NBC News projects
WASHINGTON (AP) — Ashley Moody wins Republican nomination for U.S. Senate in Florida special primary election
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Ashley Moody wins Republican nomination for U.S. Senate in Florida special primary election
DDHQ Race Update (est. 1% in): Florida US Senate Republican Special Election Primary • • Ashley Moody (R): 9,570 (84.2%) • Chris Gleason (R): 1,043 (9.2%) • Ernest Rivera (R): 480 (4.2%) • • Follow more results here: •
Senator Ashley Moody is doing a tremendous job representing the incredible people of Florida, a State I love, and WON BIG, in 2016, 2020, and 2024! A fifth generation Floridian, Ashley served as State Attorney General for six years prior to becoming a very distinguished and well respected U.S. Senator. Ashley is working tirelessly to Grow our Economy, Cut Taxes and Regulations, Promote MADE IN THE U.S.A., Champion American Energy DOMINANCE, Keep our Border SECURE, Stop Migrant Crime, Murderers, and other Criminals from illegally entering our Country, Strengthen our Great Military/Veterans, and Defend our always under siege Second Amendment. Ashley Moody has my Complete and Total Endorsement! Early Voting is underway NOW, and Election Day is August 18th. GET OUT AND VOTE FOR ASHLEY — SHE WILL NEVER LET YOU DOWN! Find your Voting Location here:
Senator Ashley Moody is doing a tremendous job representing the incredible people of Florida, a State I love, and WON BIG, in 2016, 2020, and 2024! A fifth generation Floridian, Ashley served as State Attorney General for six years prior to becoming a very distinguished and well respected U.S. Senator. Ashley is working tirelessly to Grow our Economy, Cut Taxes and Regulations, Promote MADE IN THE U.S.A., Champion American Energy DOMINANCE, Help Secure our already Secure Southern Border, Stop Migrant Crime, Murderers, and other Criminals from illegally entering our Country, Strengthen our Great Military/Veterans, and Defend our always under siege Second Amendment. Ashley Moody has my Complete and Total Endorsement — SHE WILL NOT LET YOU DOWN!
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Florida.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.