Florida Republican Governor Primary Margin of Victory
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FL led the Aug. 18 primary schedule, but WY & AK also voted. Check out DDHQ's roundup of all the action. • • In #FLGov, Rep. Byron Donalds easily won the GOP primary. But in #FLSen, DSA state Rep. Angie Nixon upset Alex Vindman to win the Democratic nod. The GOP is favored in both.
FL led the Aug. 18 primary schedule, but WY & AK also voted. Check out DDHQ's roundup of all the action. • • In #FLGov, Rep. Byron Donalds easily won the GOP primary. But in #FLSen, DSA state Rep. Angie Nixon upset Alex Vindman to win the Democratic nod. The GOP is favored in both.
Representative Byron Donald, a staunch ally of Trump, easily won the Republican gubernatorial primary in Florida and will run for governor. If he wins in November, he will become Florida's first Black governor.
Trump-backed Rep. Byron Donalds cruised to victory in the Republican contest in Florida to succeed Gov. Ron DeSantis, while scandal-plagued Rep. Cory Mills was defeated in his central Florida district. w/ @learyreports
Trump-backed Rep. Byron Donalds cruised to victory in the Republican contest in Florida to succeed Gov. Ron DeSantis, while scandal-plagued Rep. Cory Mills was defeated in his central Florida district. w/ @learyreports
Live: Byron Donalds, now the Republican nominee for Florida governor, dominated in most of the state but is trailing to Jay Collins in a number of largely white, rural counties in North Florida. Mr. Donalds is Black, and some Republicans will be looking at his underperformance in those counties with concerns about whether white Republicans are unwilling to vote for a Black nominee and might stay home in November. If elected, Donalds would become Florida’s first Black governor.
Trump-endorsed Rep. Byron Donalds easily wins Florida GOP gubernatorial primary
DDHQ Race Update (est. 82% in): Florida Governor Republican Primary • • Byron Donalds (R): 675,076 (49.1%) • Jay Collins (R): 339,870 (24.7%) • James Fishback (R): 137,965 (10.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 82% in): Florida Governor Republican Primary • • Byron Donalds (R): 675,076 (49.1%) • Jay Collins (R): 339,870 (24.7%) • James Fishback (R): 137,965 (10.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 64% in): Florida Governor Republican Primary • • Byron Donalds (R): 534,160 (50.1%) • Jay Collins (R): 263,158 (24.7%) • James Fishback (R): 96,781 (9.1%) • Paul Renner (R): 89,864 (8.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 64% in): Florida Governor Republican Primary • • Byron Donalds (R): 534,160 (50.1%) • Jay Collins (R): 263,158 (24.7%) • James Fishback (R): 96,781 (9.1%) • Paul Renner (R): 89,864 (8.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
Live: With a little more than 50 percent of the vote reported in Florida, Byron Donalds is ahead by a wide margin in the Republican primary for governor. Donalds had wide leads in all of the recent pre-election polling and was endorsed by President Trump.
Live: With a little more than 50 percent of the vote reported in Florida, Byron Donalds is ahead by a wide margin in the Republican primary for governor. Donalds had wide leads in all of the recent pre-election polling and was endorsed by President Trump.
DDHQ Race Update (est. 53% in): Florida Governor Republican Primary • • Byron Donalds (R): 452,930 (50.7%) • Jay Collins (R): 221,068 (24.7%) • Paul Renner (R): 75,993 (8.5%) • James Fishback (R): 73,862 (8.3%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 53% in): Florida Governor Republican Primary • • Byron Donalds (R): 452,930 (50.7%) • Jay Collins (R): 221,068 (24.7%) • Paul Renner (R): 75,993 (8.5%) • James Fishback (R): 73,862 (8.3%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 44% in): Florida Governor Republican Primary • • Byron Donalds (R): 377,752 (51.5%) • Jay Collins (R): 182,887 (24.9%) • Paul Renner (R): 61,485 (8.4%) • James Fishback (R): 54,063 (7.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 44% in): Florida Governor Republican Primary • • Byron Donalds (R): 377,752 (51.5%) • Jay Collins (R): 182,887 (24.9%) • Paul Renner (R): 61,485 (8.4%) • James Fishback (R): 54,063 (7.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 13% in): Florida Governor Republican Primary • • Byron Donalds (R): 109,394 (49.6%) • Jay Collins (R): 59,967 (27.2%) • Paul Renner (R): 18,436 (8.4%) • James Fishback (R): 15,477 (7.0%) • Bobby Williams (R): 7,519 (3.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
Another busy primary day on Tuesday! The top race is arguably the #FLGov GOP primary, where Trump-endorsed Rep. Byron Donalds is the frontrunner. But insurgent James Fishback might — MIGHT — not be far behind. • • Donalds leads 37%-18% in DDHQ's average, but polls disagree sharply.
Another busy primary day on Tuesday! The top race is arguably the #FLGov GOP primary, where Trump-endorsed Rep. Byron Donalds is the frontrunner. But insurgent James Fishback might — MIGHT — not be far behind. • • Donalds leads 37%-18% in DDHQ's average, but polls disagree sharply.
Another busy primary day on Tuesday! The top race is arguably the #FLGov GOP primary, where Trump-endorsed Rep. Byron Donalds is the frontrunner. But insurgent James Fishback might — MIGHT — not be far behind. • • Donalds leads 37%-18% in DDHQ's average, but polls disagree sharply.
What is this event about?
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.