Florida Governor Election Winner
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Market pricing makes Byron Donalds (R) the favorite at 78% across 13 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
It’s pick-your-poll season in Florida • • YouGov reporting a close race where Jolly trails Donalds by just 2 (essentially an inside-the-error-margin tie) in the governor’s race • • Angie Nixon is a little farther behind, by 5, in the Senate race v. Moody • •
A house of horrors poll for Florida Democrats by Mason Dixon • • David Jolly and Angie Nixon are trailing Republicans Byron Donalds and Ashley Moody by 7 & 10 points in their respective gubernatorial and Senate races • • The Hispanic #s are • •
A house of horrors poll for Florida Democrats by Mason Dixon • • David Jolly and Angie Nixon are trailing Republicans Byron Donalds and Ashley Moody by 7 & 10 points in their respective gubernatorial and Senate races • • The Hispanic #s are • •
Florida Governor Polling Average: • Jolly: 46.8% • Donalds: 44.3% • • Find our full forecast on Votes:
Florida Governor Polling Average: • Jolly: 46.8% • Donalds: 44.3% • • Find our full forecast on Votes:
DeSantis endorses Florida GOP slate including Byron Donalds in governor's race
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.