FL-25 Democratic Primary Winner

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This hub tracks 8 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

13 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

BREAKING: AP projects that incumbent moderate Rep. Jared Moskowitz (D-FL) has defeated DSA/socialist Oliver Larkin in the Democratic primary for Moskowitz’s House seat.
Jared Moskowitzfoxnews98%match100¢
BREAKING: Pro-Israel moderate Rep. Jared Moskowitz projected to defeat DSA-backed Oliver Larkin in Florida's 25th District Democratic primary.
Jared Moskowitzms.now97%match100¢
Live: Rep. Jared Moskowitz projected to win Democratic nod in Florida’s 25th House District
Jared MoskowitzReuters97%match99¢+1%
U.S. Rep. Jared Moskowitz Wins Democratic Nomination for Florida’s U.S. House District 25, Will Advance to General Election - AP Projects
Jared MoskowitzNBC Reporter98%match99¢+1%
Jared Moskowitz wins the Democratic primary in Florida's 25th congressional district, @NBCNews projects. He defeats challenger Oliver Larkin.
Jared MoskowitzAPws97%match99¢+1%
WASHINGTON (AP) — Jared Moskowitz wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Florida's 25th Congressional District
Jared Moskowitzapnews.com97%match99¢+1%
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Jared Moskowitz wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Florida’s 25th Congressional District
Jared MoskowitzReuters97%match99¢+1%
U.S. Rep. Jared Moskowitz Wins Democratic Nomination for Florida’s U.S. House District 25, Will Advance to General Election - NBC News Projects
Jared Moskowitznbcnews.com97%match99¢+1%
Live: Incumbent Jared Moskowitz wins the Democratic primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District, NBC News projects
Decision Desk HQ projects Jared Moskowitz wins the Florida US House 25 Democratic Primary • • #DecisionMade: 7:08 PM EDT
Jared MoskowitzReuters96%match94¢+6%
U.S. Rep. Jared Moskowitz Wins Democratic Nomination for Florida’s U.S. House District 25, Will Advance to General Election - Ddhq Projects
The center-leftv New Democrat Coalition’s super PAC is starting to spend in #FL25, where Rep. Jared Moskowitz is fending off progressive primary challenger Oliver Larkin, per @AdImpact_Pol
Oliver LarkinAxios Reporter94%match90¢+11%
The center-leftv New Democrat Coalition’s super PAC is starting to spend in #FL25, where Rep. Jared Moskowitz is fending off progressive primary challenger Oliver Larkin, per @AdImpact_Pol

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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