FL-23 Democratic Primary Winner
Resolved29as of
This hub tracks 29 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
21 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
BREAKING: AP projects that incumbent moderate Rep. Jared Moskowitz (D-FL) has defeated DSA/socialist Oliver Larkin in the Democratic primary for Moskowitz’s House seat.
Live: Rep. Jared Moskowitz projected to win Democratic nod in Florida’s 25th House District
Rep. Jared Moskowitz beats DSA-backed primary challenger in redrawn Florida district
U.S. Rep. Jared Moskowitz Wins Democratic Nomination for Florida’s U.S. House District 25, Will Advance to General Election - AP Projects
Live: Rep. Lois Frankel projected to win Democratic nod in Florida’s 23rd House District
Live: Jared Moskowitz, Centrist Democrat From Florida, Beats Back Challenge From Left
Jared Moskowitz, Centrist Democrat From Florida, Beats Back Challenge From Left
Live: Rep. Jared Moskowitz will win Democratic primary in Florida's 25th District, CNN projects
Rep. Jared Moskowitz on track for an easy win over Oliver Larkin... not an overall Florida DSA surge, just Angie Nixon out-campaigning Vindman with far less money.
Rep. Jared Moskowitz on track for an easy win over Oliver Larkin... not an overall Florida DSA surge, just Angie Nixon out-campaigning Vindman with far less money.
Rep. Lois Frankel wins the Dem primary in FL-23, which was redrawn. Frankel currently represents FL-22.
WASHINGTON (AP) — Lois Frankel wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Florida's 23rd Congressional District
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Lois Frankel wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Florida’s 23rd Congressional District
U.S. Rep. Jared Moskowitz Wins Democratic Nomination for Florida’s U.S. House District 25, Will Advance to General Election - NBC News Projects
Live: Incumbent Jared Moskowitz wins the Democratic primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District, NBC News projects
Decision Desk HQ projects Jared Moskowitz wins the Florida US House 25 Democratic Primary • • #DecisionMade: 7:08 PM EDT
DDHQ Race Update (est. 46% in): Florida US House 25 Democratic Primary • • Jared Moskowitz (D): 12,227 (63.0%) • Oliver Larkin (D): 7,179 (37.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 46% in): Florida US House 25 Democratic Primary • • Jared Moskowitz (D): 12,227 (63.0%) • Oliver Larkin (D): 7,179 (37.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
The center-leftv New Democrat Coalition’s super PAC is starting to spend in #FL25, where Rep. Jared Moskowitz is fending off progressive primary challenger Oliver Larkin, per @AdImpact_Pol
The center-leftv New Democrat Coalition’s super PAC is starting to spend in #FL25, where Rep. Jared Moskowitz is fending off progressive primary challenger Oliver Larkin, per @AdImpact_Pol
#FL25 update: Oliver Larkin's campaign is out with a polling memo. • • The campaign polled Dem primary w/ Moskowitz, DWS and Larkin. DWS hasn't committed to #FL25, we'll note, and is reportedly eyeing a run in #FL20. • • Initial ballot: • DWS: 36% • Moskowitz: 29% • Larkin: 7%
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.