FL-06 Republican Primary Winner

ResolvedOutcomes18as of

This hub tracks 18 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

17 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

Randy Finefoxnews98%match100¢
BREAKING: ‘Hebrew Hammer’ Randy Fine wins the Republican primary for Florida’s 6th District.
Randy Finems.now98%match100¢
Live: Rep. Randy Fine projected to win GOP nomination in Florida’s 6th House District
Randy Finenbcnews.com98%match100¢
Live: Rep. Randy Fine wins the Republican primary for Florida's 6th Congressional District, NBC News projects
Randy FineAPws98%match100¢
WASHINGTON (AP) — Randy Fine wins Republican nomination for U.S. House in Florida's 6th Congressional District
Randy Fineapnews.com98%match100¢
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Randy Fine wins Republican nomination for U.S. House in Florida’s 6th Congressional District
Decision Desk HQ projects Randy Fine wins the Florida US House 6 Republican Primary • • #DecisionMade: 7:35 PM EDT
Randy FineNewswire98%match100¢
Randy Fine wins Republican nomination for U.S. House in Florida’s 6th Congressional District — Projection
DDHQ Race Update (est. 47% in): Florida US House 6 Republican Primary • • Randy Fine (R): 21,454 (49.2%) • Dan Bilzerian (R): 11,691 (26.8%) • Aaron Baker (R): 6,688 (15.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 47% in): Florida US House 6 Republican Primary • • Randy Fine (R): 21,454 (49.2%) • Dan Bilzerian (R): 11,691 (26.8%) • Aaron Baker (R): 6,688 (15.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 47% in): Florida US House 6 Republican Primary • • Randy Fine (R): 21,454 (49.2%) • Dan Bilzerian (R): 11,691 (26.8%) • Aaron Baker (R): 6,688 (15.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 25% in): Florida US House 6 Republican Primary • • Randy Fine (R): 9,868 (43.1%) • Dan Bilzerian (R): 8,076 (35.3%) • Aaron Baker (R): 3,556 (15.6%) • Charles Gambaro (R): 1,372 (6.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 25% in): Florida US House 6 Republican Primary • • Randy Fine (R): 9,868 (43.1%) • Dan Bilzerian (R): 8,076 (35.3%) • Aaron Baker (R): 3,556 (15.6%) • Charles Gambaro (R): 1,372 (6.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 25% in): Florida US House 6 Republican Primary • • Randy Fine (R): 9,868 (43.1%) • Dan Bilzerian (R): 8,076 (35.3%) • Aaron Baker (R): 3,556 (15.6%) • Charles Gambaro (R): 1,372 (6.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 25% in): Florida US House 6 Republican Primary • • Randy Fine (R): 9,868 (43.1%) • Dan Bilzerian (R): 8,076 (35.3%) • Aaron Baker (R): 3,556 (15.6%) • Charles Gambaro (R): 1,372 (6.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
Randy Finetruthsocial.com95%match97¢+3%
Congressman Randy Fine is a MAGA Warrior who is doing a fantastic job representing Florida’s 6th Congressional District! A Harvard Educated and Successful Businessman, Randy was a Highly Respected State Legislator, prior to becoming a distinguished U.S. Congressman. He loves the Great People of the Sunshine State, which I won THREE TIMES in 2016, 2020, and 2024! In Congress, Randy is fighting tirelessly to Grow our Economy, Cut Taxes and Regulations, Promote MADE IN THE U.S.A., Unleash American Energy DOMINANCE, Keep our Border SECURE, Stop Migrant Crime, Champion our Military/Veterans, Defend our always under siege Second Amendment, and, very importantly, Pass THE SAVE AMERICA ACT. Randy Fine has my Complete and Total Endorsement for Re-Election! Early Voting is underway NOW, and Election Day is August 18th. GET OUT AND VOTE FOR RANDY — HE WILL NEVER LET YOU DOWN! Find your Voting Location here:
Randy Finejerusalem_post99%match86¢+16%
Known as the “Hebrew Hammer,” Congressman Randy Fine (@RepFine) has become one of Israel’s loudest defenders in Washington. • • Hear him live at our Annual Conference in New York. • • Join us:
Dan Bilzerianosint61399%match85¢+18%
ICYMI: Dan Bilzerian, son of convicted fraudster Paul Bilzerian, is running as a Republican for Florida’s 6th Congressional District. • • When speaking about causes he would fight for, this is what he said: • • “The only battle worth fighting for is exterminating Israel.” • “Just f***ing give me a rifle and send me down there to kiII Israelis. I would sign up now.”

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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