FL-05 Republican Primary Winner
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This hub tracks 6 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
WASHINGTON (AP) — John Rutherford wins Republican nomination for U.S. House in Florida's 5th Congressional District
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — John Rutherford wins Republican nomination for U.S. House in Florida’s 5th Congressional District
Congressman John Rutherford is an incredible Representative for the wonderful People of Florida’s 5th Congressional District! As the former Sheriff of Duval County, and now, as a Highly Respected U.S. Congressman, John strongly supports our incredible Law Enforcement, Military, and Veterans, and knows the Wisdom and Courage it takes to Ensure LAW AND ORDER. In Congress, he is fighting tirelessly to Keep our Border SECURE, Stop Migrant Crime, Grow our Economy, Cut Taxes and Regulations, Promote MADE IN THE U.S.A., Unleash American Energy DOMINANCE, Safeguard our Elections, and Protect our always under siege Second Amendment. John Rutherford has my Complete and Total Endorsement for Re-Election! Election Day is Tuesday, August 18th. GET OUT AND VOTE FOR JOHN — HE WILL NEVER LET YOU DOWN! Find your Voting Location here:
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.