Epstein client list released
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Market pricing makes October 31 the favorite at 18% across 5 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
14 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Bondi’s play to defuse an Epstein subpoena partly pays off
Have we seen the last of the Epstein files? Lawmakers and victims want more released
Jordan says he’s happy with how DOJ is dealing with Epstein files. • • “They’ve been following the law, the Transparency Act that was passed. Do it in a way that’s consistent with the court, and do it as quickly as you can”
Top Justice Dept officials will brief US House Oversight committee TOMORROW evening about Administration's handling of Epstein files • • About new subpoena issued by panel to Pam Bondi, Justice Dept spokeswoman says it "is completely unnecessary. Lawmakers have been invited to view the unredacted files for themselves at the Dept of Justice and the Atty General has always made herself available to speak directly with members of Congress"
JUST IN: The odds of the Epstein client list being released this year, as required by law, have collapsed. 8% chance.
Epstein survivors criticize DOJ for failure to release all files
JUST IN: The odds of the Epstein client list being released this year have fallen to 2% — despite being required by law.
Outcry comes as US media report that at least 16 files have disappeared from the public webpage for the Epstein files.
JUST IN: There's now only a 3% chance the Epstein client list is released this year, as required by law.
The DOJ released a new tranche of Epstein files on Saturday that include grand jury materials though appear to offer little revelatory information.
Trump wants to be done with the Epstein saga, but it’s not ending anytime soon. It will be a slow-drip document dump that could threaten a long list of Washington power players.
The Justice Department (DOJ) began releasing its trove of documents related to the many investigations of convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein on Friday, the deadline imposed by the Epstein Files Transparency Act.
JUST IN: We are no longer likely to see the Epstein client list this year, despite Congress passing the Epstein Files Transparency Act. 4% chance.
BREAKING: Epstein files are scheduled to be released on Friday, per the Epstein Files Transparency Act.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.