Elon Musk out as Project Meridian co-lead by January 27?

OpenOutcomes1as of

Market pricing makes Elon Musk out as Project Meridian co-lead by January 27? the favorite at 21%, as of .

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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

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What is this event about?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk ceases to be a co-lead of the U.S. Department of War’s Project Meridian for any period of time during which the project is ongoing between market creation and January 27, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/removal before the projects conclusion by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The conclusion or dissolution of Project Meridian before January 27, 2027, 11:59 PM ET will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Elon Musk and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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