Dublin-Central By-Election Winner
Open39as of
This hub tracks 39 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
Person H0%
Person L0%
Person M0%
Person P0%
Person S0%
Person T0%
Person W0%
Person X0%
Person Y0%
Other0%
Person D0%
Person I0%
Person O0%
Person Q0%
Person B0%
Person F0%
Person K0%
Person N0%
Person R0%
Person U0%
Person V0%
All further outcomes (9 more):
Person Z · Daniel Ennis · Gerry Hutch · John Stephens · Person A · Person C · Person E · Person G · Person J
What moved the odds?
A complete combined signal timeline is unavailable. The outcome odds above remain current to the stated time.
What is this event about?
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).