DOJ releases Biden ghostwriter tapes
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This hub tracks 2 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Department of Justice (DOJ) releases any audio recording of interviews conducted between Joe Biden and ghostwriter Marc Zwonitzer to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Released to the public refers to the DOJ making the audio recordings freely accessible to the general public for listening, downloading, or other forms of public accessibility. A qualifying release must be intentional by the DOJ; leaks or hacks will not qualify. Paywalls or similar restrictions will not disqualify a public release.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Department of Justice; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.