Democratic VP Nominee 2028

OpenOutcomes128as of

Market pricing makes Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez the favorite at 11% across 128 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

23 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Gavin Newsomnypost.com91%match96¢+1%
Pete Buttigieg, AOC and Jon Ossoff poll ahead of Gavin Newsom and Kamala Harris for White House run
Democrats are already battling over who will carry the party's torch into 2028. • • A new poll finds Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leading the potential Democratic field at 22%, with former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg close behind at 21%. Former Vice President Kamala Harris trails at 5%. • • Separately, a Fox News poll shows Democrats view socialism more favorably than capitalism by an 11-point margin, adding to the debate over where the party is headed as states battle over who will host the Democratic presidential primary. • • @madeleinerivera has the latest.
Gavin Newsomnypost.com91%match97¢
Huge blow for Gavin Newsom as shock polls show Democrat 2028 White House rival streaking ahead
Jon OssoffAJC Reporter99%match96¢-1%
The 2028 speculation has centered on Jon Ossoff. But the Georgia Democrat taking unmistakable steps to build a national profile -- and tick off the boxes that often precede a White House run -- is Raphael Warnock. 1/ #gapol
Raphael WarnockAJC Reporter99%match3¢+33%
The 2028 speculation has centered on Jon Ossoff. But the Georgia Democrat taking unmistakable steps to build a national profile -- and tick off the boxes that often precede a White House run -- is Raphael Warnock. 1/ #gapol
Jon OssoffAJC Reporter99%match96¢-1%
Plenty of 2028 speculation is focusing on Jon Ossoff. But Raphael Warnock is the Georgia Democrat taking the clearest steps to raise his profile. #gapol
Plenty of 2028 speculation is focusing on Jon Ossoff. But Raphael Warnock is the Georgia Democrat taking the clearest steps to raise his profile. #gapol
Kamala Harrisentekhab_news99%match1¢+100%
2028 US Election Poll; Kamala Harris and JD Vance Leading The results of a new poll show that Kamala Harris has received the most support among the possible Democratic Party candidates for the 2028 US presidential election, and JD Vance has also led the way in the Republican Party. / Election
Kamala Harrisclashreport99%match96¢+2%
Many Democrats believe Joe Biden doomed Kamala Harris by waiting too long to drop out. • • “Joe Biden fucked her,” one former White House aide said, arguing Harris was “set up to fail” with only 107 days to run a national campaign. • • Source: Vanity Fair
Why 2026 will be critical to Josh Shapiro’s 2028
Mayor Zohran Kwame Mamdani becomes the first elected official to launch a regularly occurring, multi-platform interactive streaming series.
Josh ShapiroCBS Reporter98%match2¢+150%
Pa. Gov. Josh Shapiro spoke with DNC Chair Ken Martin last week about the party’s 2024 election autopsy, sources familiar with the call confirm to @CBSNews. Shapiro conveyed to Martin that the DNC should release the report to the public for transparency. First reported by @natashakorecki. @CBSPolitics
Jared Polispunchbowlnews99%match99¢-3%
Colorado Democratic Gov. Jared Polis’ decision to commute the sentence of Tina Peters is infuriating the state’s Democrats, including some in the congressional delegation. • • @maxpcohen with the details:
Jared Polisnewsmax99%match99¢-3%
Colorado Democrats censured Gov. Jared Polis for granting clemency to former Mesa County Clerk Tina Peters, imprisoned over a 2020 election equipment breach.
Tim Walznytimes.com99%match98¢
The report also includes no coverage of the selection of Tim Walz, the Minnesota governor, as the vice presidential running mate. The pick has been second-guessed since by some Democrats and the report’s omission of him is a surprise.
Jared Polisnbcnews.com99%match95¢+1%
Colorado Democrats censure Gov. Jared Polis for commuting election denier’s sentence
Jared Polisnbcnews.com99%match99¢-3%
Colorado Democrats censure Gov. Jared Polis over commuting election denier’s sentence
Hunter Bidenfoxnews99%match99¢+1%
"I'm Hunter Biden. You've never actually heard from me." • • A newly active "Hunter Biden" X account is sparking a firestorm as politicians and commentators relentlessly mock the first post.
John FettermanAxios Reporter98%match100¢-1%
NEW from @axios @hollyotterbein • • Sen. John Fetterman's chief of staff, Cabelle St. John, resigned today • • Why it matters: Fetterman has had a serious staff retention problem as he's faced scrutiny over his health struggles and changing political brand
J.B. Pritzkerpolitico99%match95¢+1%
.@GovPritzker told our @jmart he'd be "surprised” if Kamala Harris didn’t run for president again. • • While noting her continued popularity, Pritzker suggested a 2028 bid would be hard to resist, even as Dems historically favor fresh faces after defeat. • •
Kamala Harrispolitico98%match96¢+2%
.@GovPritzker told our @jmart he'd be "surprised” if Kamala Harris didn’t run for president again. • • While noting her continued popularity, Pritzker suggested a 2028 bid would be hard to resist, even as Dems historically favor fresh faces after defeat. • •
Kamala Harrisnypost.com99%match97¢+1%
Top Democrats' brutal comments when asked if Kamala Harris should run in 2028
Kamala Harris' support soars to record highs It seems that the Democrats have decided on a candidate for the US presidential election in 2028. Against the backdrop of Trump's failures and falling ratings, Harris is gaining points. The rating has now reached 50%. This makes Harris the absolute favorite in the intra-party competition in the United States.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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