Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?
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Market pricing makes 20,000+ the favorite at 3% across 3 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
FDA widens Cyclospora outbreak investigation to six more states as confirmed cases top 6,000
FDA widens Cyclospora outbreak investigation to six more states as confirmed cases top 6,000
Cyclosporiasis outbreak linked to shredded iceberg lettuce expands to 15 states
Large cyclosporiasis outbreak linked to lettuce now includes cases in 15 states
Large cyclosporiasis outbreak linked to lettuce now includes cases in 15 states
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis in humans in the territory of the United States of America since May 1, 2026, according to the CDC surveillance count by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Surveillance of Cyclosporiasis page’s “U.S. cases reported to CDC” count (see: https://www.cdc.gov/cyclosporiasis/php/surveillance/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC as confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources. Travel-associated cases acquired outside the United States will not qualify.