China x India military clash
Open3as of
Market pricing makes December 31, 2026 the favorite at 8% across 3 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
India, China defence ministers discuss regional security on sidelines of SCO meet
India-China reset? Relaxed rules allow Beijing to invest in India after about six years of friction
India-China reset? Relaxed rules allow Beijing to invest in India after about six years of friction
India eases FDI rules in likely opening for Chinese investment
What is this event about?
This is a market on the likelihood of a military clash between China and India occurring by December 31.