CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)

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Market pricing makes Doris Matsui the favorite at 56% across 6 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

2 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Doris MatsuiAxios Reporter94%match40¢+40%
Post-primary Q2 fundraising (May 14 to Jun. 30) in the #CA07 Dem vs. Dem runoff: • • Doris Matsui (inc.) • Raised - $232,000 • Spent - $1.2 million • Cash-on-hand - $467,000 • • Mai Vang • Raised - $270,000 • Spent - $355,000 • Cash-on-hand - $106,000
Mai VangAxios Reporter93%match40¢+38%
Post-primary Q2 fundraising (May 14 to Jun. 30) in the #CA07 Dem vs. Dem runoff: • • Doris Matsui (inc.) • Raised - $232,000 • Spent - $1.2 million • Cash-on-hand - $467,000 • • Mai Vang • Raised - $270,000 • Spent - $355,000 • Cash-on-hand - $106,000

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

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