Bitcoin price on August 21?

ResolvedOutcomes11as of

This hub tracks 11 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

1 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

<54,000wublockchain95%match100¢
CoinShares: Bitcoin Expected to Remain Range-Bound Below $80,000 Pending Clearer Fed Policy Shift • • According to CoinShares, Bitcoin is expected to maintain a range-bound oscillation in the near term, with the $80,000 mark acting as a critical upper resistance level. Analysts suggest that a more definitive market breakout will likely require the Federal Reserve to clearly confirm that policy risks have shifted and that it is no longer leaning toward further monetary tightening. • • The recent Bitcoin rally has been primarily driven by macroeconomic factors, such as softening U.S. inflation and employment data, rather than crypto-native catalysts. Alongside this macro shift, on-chain data shows that whales have resumed accumulation.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Related events