Bitcoin above ___ on August 5?
Resolved11as of
This hub tracks 11 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
Bitcoin Spot Trading Volume Falls to Lowest Level Since 2019 • • Glassnode said Bitcoin’s three-month futures basis yield has stayed below the U.S. two-year Treasury yield since February, marking only the second prolonged inversion on record and pushing institutions toward cash and government bonds. Bitcoin spot trading volume has fallen to its lowest level since 2019, while exchange flows and spot ETF demand remain subdued. BTC is trading within a major cost-basis cluster between $62,000 and $68,000, with $69,000 as key resistance. Glassnode said the current bear market is the shallowest on record by drawdown, but has not lasted long enough to confirm a bottom, while its model remains mildly “Risk Off.”
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.