Bitcoin above ___ on August 18?
Resolved11as of
This hub tracks 11 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
Bitcoin Spot Volume Hits Lowest Since 2019 as Glassnode Flags $58,500 Downside Risk • • Bitcoin spot exchange volume has fallen to its lowest level since Glassnode’s data series began in early 2019, with BTC caught between the $63,000 Median Realized Price and the $68,700 Short-Term Holder Cost Basis. Seller-exhaustion indicators are approaching levels seen near previous bear-market bottoms, but spot demand remains weak, with only modest ETF inflows and continued net BTC flows onto exchanges. • • Glassnode warned that thin bids and crowded leverage could amplify losses if Bitcoin breaks below the June low near $58,500.
Bitcoin Spot Volume Hits Lowest Since 2019 as Glassnode Flags $58,500 Downside Risk • • Bitcoin spot exchange volume has fallen to its lowest level since Glassnode’s data series began in early 2019, with BTC caught between the $63,000 Median Realized Price and the $68,700 Short-Term Holder Cost Basis. Seller-exhaustion indicators are approaching levels seen near previous bear-market bottoms, but spot demand remains weak, with only modest ETF inflows and continued net BTC flows onto exchanges. • • Glassnode warned that thin bids and crowded leverage could amplify losses if Bitcoin breaks below the June low near $58,500.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.