Berlin State Elections: AfD # of seats?
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In state parliamentary elections held in Berlin and the northeast of Germany, the far-right AfD made significant gains, making it the largest party in the northeast. Calls for resignation for Chancellor Merz, who suffered a crushing defeat, are also emerging.
German far-right party becomes the largest party in state elections; Chancellor's conservative party loses all seats; Berlin also suffers defeat, pressure to resign
Alternative for Germany is likely to become the largest party in state elections, with a majority on its own becoming the focus.
Live: The exit polls suggest we could be in for a lot of drama today, as we wait to see if the AfD secures an absolute majority of seats. One poll, for television network A.R.D., shows the AfD with 39 seats, out of 83. The other, for network Z.D.F., shows the AfD with 41. An absolute majority is 42 seats. Final results won’t be known for hours.
Live: The exit polls suggest we could be in for a lot of drama today, as we wait to see if the AfD secures an absolute majority of seats. One poll, for television network A.R.D., shows the AfD with 39 seats, out of 83. The other, for network Z.D.F., shows the AfD with 41. An absolute majority is 42 seats. Final results won’t be known for hours.
Live: The exit polls suggest we could be in for a lot of drama today, as we wait to see if the AfD secures an absolute majority of seats. One poll, for television network A.R.D., shows the AfD with 39 seats, out of 83. The other, for network Z.D.F., shows the AfD with 41. An absolute majority is 42 seats. Final results won’t be known for hours.
What is this event about?
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).