Berlin State Election: AfD Vote Share?
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In Germany, the Left Party, which nominated Elif Eralp for the premiership, won the Berlin state parliament election. The Left Party came first with 25.7% of the vote. The Christian Democratic Union (CDU) came second with 18.8%. The Alternative for Germany (AfD) received 16.3% of the vote, while the Greens received 14.3% and the Social Democratic Party (SPD) received 12.1%. According to the seat distribution estimate, in the state parliament, which is expected to consist of 158 members, the Left Party is expected to be represented by 47 deputies, the CDU by 34, the AfD by 29, the Greens by 26, and the SPD by 22.
In Germany, the Left Party, which nominated Elif Eralp for the premiership, won the Berlin state parliament election. The Left Party came first with 25.7% of the vote. The Christian Democratic Union (CDU) came second with 18.8%. The Alternative for Germany (AfD) received 16.3% of the vote, while the Greens received 14.3% and the Social Democratic Party (SPD) received 12.1%. According to the seat distribution estimate, in the state parliament, which is expected to consist of 158 members, the Left Party is expected to be represented by 47 deputies, the CDU by 34, the AfD by 29, the Greens by 26, and the SPD by 22.
In Germany, the Left Party, which nominated Elif Eralp for the premiership, won the Berlin state parliament election. The Left Party came first with 25.7% of the vote. The Christian Democratic Union (CDU) came second with 18.8%. The Alternative for Germany (AfD) received 16.3% of the vote, while the Greens received 14.3% and the Social Democratic Party (SPD) received 12.1%. According to the seat distribution estimate, in the state parliament, which is expected to consist of 158 members, the Left Party is expected to be represented by 47 deputies, the CDU by 34, the AfD by 29, the Greens by 26, and the SPD by 22.
In Germany, the Left Party, which nominated Elif Eralp for the premiership, won the Berlin state parliament election. The Left Party came first with 25.7% of the vote. The Christian Democratic Union (CDU) came second with 18.8%. The Alternative for Germany (AfD) received 16.3% of the vote, while the Greens received 14.3% and the Social Democratic Party (SPD) received 12.1%. According to the seat distribution estimate, in the state parliament, which is expected to consist of 158 members, the Left Party is expected to be represented by 47 deputies, the CDU by 34, the AfD by 29, the Greens by 26, and the SPD by 22.
Far-Right AfD Seen at 16% in Berlin State Election - Exit Poll
Far-Right AfD Seen at 16% in Berlin State Election - Exit Poll
What is this event about?
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by AfD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).