Bank of Korea decision in October?
Resolved5as of
This hub tracks 5 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
11 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
Opposition Party's Bae Jun-young: "Bank of Korea Governor Must 'Reconsider from Scratch' This Month's Interest Rate Hike"
Bank of Korea Governor: "Preemptive interest rate hike buys time... reduces ultimate costs"
Bank of Korea signals further interest rate hike: "Inflation to remain above 2% for a considerable period"
Bank of Korea signals further interest rate hike: "Inflation to remain above 2% for a considerable period"
Bank of Korea signals further interest rate hike... "Inflation to remain above 2% for a considerable period"
Bank of Korea signals further interest rate hike... "Inflation to remain above 2% for a considerable period"
Monetary Policy Committee Member Kim Jong-hwa: “Needs to assess impact of consecutive rate hikes”… Market interprets this as “hinting at a freeze in October”
Monetary Policy Committee Member Kim Jong-hwa: “Needs to assess impact of consecutive rate hikes”… Market interprets this as “hinting at a freeze in October”
Monetary Policy Committee Member Kim Jong-hwa: “Needs to assess impact of consecutive rate hikes”… Market interprets this as “hinting at a freeze in October”
Monetary Policy Committee Member Kim Jong-hwa: “Needs to assess impact of consecutive rate hikes”… Market interprets this as “hinting at a freeze in October”
Bank of Korea to assess conditions to determine pace and timing of tightening, says board member
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.