Ballon d'Or 2026: 2nd Place

OpenOutcomes51as of Oct 20, 2026, 17:34 UTC

Market pricing makes Kylian Mbappé the favorite at 70% across 51 tracked outcomes, as of Oct 20, 2026, 17:34 UTC.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Kylian Mbappé70%

Lamine Yamal13%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia1%

William Saliba1%

Dayot Upamecano1%

Ousmane Dembélé0%

Erling Haaland0%

Jude Bellingham0%

Michael Olise0%

Vinícius Júnior0%

Achraf Hakimi0%

Bruno Fernandes0%

Lautaro Martinez0%

Marc Cucurella0%

Gabriel Magalhães0%

Willian Pacho0%

Julián Quiñones0%

Ferran Torres0%

All further outcomes (21 more):

Player A · Player B · Player C · Player D · Player E · Player F · Player G · Player H · Player I · Player J · Player K · Player L · Player M · Player N · Player O · Player P · Player Q · Player R · Player S · Player T · Other

What moved the odds?

A complete combined signal timeline is unavailable. The outcome odds above remain current to the stated time.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 2nd place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If two or more players are tied for 2nd place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.