Bahia Governor Election Winner
Open28as of
Market pricing makes Jerônimo Rodrigues the favorite at 56% across 28 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
ACM Neto46%
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Eu sempre digo que governar é cuidar. Uma agenda de cuidado une moradia digna, comida no prato, escolas de qualidade com oportunidades para todos, atenção médica em hospitais equipados, segurança hídrica, além de zelo pelos sonhos da juventude e pelas necessidades do povo idoso. • • A Bahia tem tido todo o cuidado para alcançar o protagonismo que sua gente merece. E devolve esse afeto com abraço, olhar sincero e aconchego, como hoje na oficialização da candidatura à reeleição do governador Jerônimo Rodrigues, baiano de coração grande e compromisso com a seriedade, que forma chapa com Jaques Wagner e Rui Costa para o Senado. • • A Bahia sabe reconhecer quem trabalha de verdade. • • @ricardostuckert
What is this event about?
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).