AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner
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This hub tracks 24 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
Former Pro Football Player Jay Feely Wins Republican Primary for Arizona’s First District U.S. House Seat - US Media Projects
Trump-Backed Jay Feely Wins GOP Primary in Arizona’s 1st District- Politico
Live: Jay Feely wins the Republican primary for Arizona's 1st Congressional District, NBC News projects
DDHQ Race Update (est. 65% in): Arizona US House 1 Republican Primary • • Jay Feely (R): 31,156 (49.4%) • Joseph Chaplik (R): 22,193 (35.2%) • John Trobough (R): 9,697 (15.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
Here is Thank You For Your Attention To This Matter PAC's ad in support of Jay Feely in #AZ01: • • "Jay Feely has Trump's complete and total endorsement. A christian, conservative, America First fighter. Jay Feely is running to kick Washington into shape."
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on July 21, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.