Argentina Monthly Inflation - July

ResolvedOutcomes8as of

This hub tracks 8 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

2.1-2.3%100%
≤1.1%0%
1.2-1.4%0%
1.5-1.7%0%
1.8-2.0%0%
2.4-2.6%0%
2.7-2.9%0%
3.0%+0%

What moved the odds?

8 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

2.1-2.3%dbws.io94%match80¢-100%
POLL-Argentina inflation estimated at 2% in July, to fall slowly in coming months
1.2-1.4%dbws.io94%match99¢+1%
POLL-Argentina inflation estimated at 2% in July, to fall slowly in coming months
2.4-2.6%dbws.io94%match99¢+1%
POLL-Argentina inflation estimated at 2% in July, to fall slowly in coming months
2.7-2.9%dbws.io94%match100¢
POLL-Argentina inflation estimated at 2% in July, to fall slowly in coming months
1.8-2.0%Reuters97%match65¢-100%
Reuters Poll-Argentina Monthly Inflation Rate Forecast at 2.0% in July vs 1.9% in June
2.1-2.3%Reuters97%match77¢-100%
Corrected-Argentina July (Not End-2026) Inflation Seen at 2.0% in Cenbank Market Expectations Survey (Removes Prior Forecast)
1.5-1.7%Reuters97%match87¢+15%
Corrected-Argentina July (Not End-2026) Inflation Seen at 2.0% in Cenbank Market Expectations Survey (Removes Prior Forecast)
2.4-2.6%Reuters97%match99¢+1%
Corrected-Argentina July (Not End-2026) Inflation Seen at 2.0% in Cenbank Market Expectations Survey (Removes Prior Forecast)

What is this event about?

This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in July 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on August 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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