Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
Open1as of
Market pricing makes Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? the favorite at 6%, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
The other factors are that Mike Rockwell, who created the Vision Pro, is weighing his future and that new CEO John Ternus has long been against the Vision Pro as a product. He killed the cheaper/lighter revamp last year and the Mac AR display glasses.
Apple broke up the Vision Products Group a year ago, splitting the team across software engineering and hardware engineering. Then, Apple re-assigned much of the Vision Pro software team to Siri and the hardware team to smart glasses.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.