2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

OpenOutcomes67as of

Market pricing makes Aryna Sabalenka the favorite at 23% across 67 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Aryna Sabalenka23%
Coco Gauff16%
Naomi Osaka6%
Elena Rybakina4%
Linda Noskova3%
Barbora Krejcikova2%
Elina Svitolina2%
Madison Keys1%
Belinda Bencic1%
Diana Shnaider1%
Marketa Vondrousova0%
Emma Navarro0%
Paula Badosa0%
Jelena Ostapenko0%
Anastasia Potapova0%
Dayana Yastremska0%
Xiyu Wang0%
Marie Bouzkova0%
Beatriz Haddad Maia0%
Sofia Kenin0%
Other
Iva Jovic
Maja Chwalinska
Sara Bejlek
Leylah Fernandez
Player J
Player L
Player N
Player P
Player R

All further outcomes (37 more):

Player T · Player V · Player X · Player Z · Iga Swiatek · Mirra Andreeva · Amanda Anisimova · Qinwen Zheng · Jessica Pegula · Karolina Muchova · Victoria Mboko · Clara Tauson · Emma Raducanu · Jasmine Paolini · Maya Joint · Ekaterina Alexandrova · Daria Kasatkina · Tereza Valentova · Donna Vekic · Liudmila Samsonova · Ashlyn Krueger · Alexandra Eala · Elise Mertens · Katie Boulter · Marta Kostyuk · Sorana Cirstea · Anna Kalinskaya · Ann Li · Maria Sakkari · Player K · Player M · Player O · Player Q · Player S · Player U · Player W · Player Y

What moved the odds?

3 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Naomi Osakanikkei.com99%match5¢+20%
Naomi Osaka rises to 13th in the women's tennis world rankings.
Naomi Osakayomiuri.co.jp99%match95¢-1%
Naomi Osaka: "It was a tough match, but there were also things I could think of positively"... A mix of frustration and a sense of accomplishment in her expression.
Aryna SabalenkaReuters99%match48¢-52%
Supreme Sabalenka and Rybakina set up Australian Open final showdown

What is this event about?

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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