Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by August 31? Odds fell to 82% on Aug 19, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by August 31? On , the market’s odds fell from 91¢ to 82¢ (-9 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Ukrainian Public Broadcaster. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match91¢
+5m91.5¢
+30m88¢
+1h82¢
+24h100¢
1h move-9 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Aug 19, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 90.5¢ → 81¢-9.5 ptsafter a signal from Ukrainian Media
  • 90.5¢ → 81¢-9.5 ptsafter a signal from Ukrainian Media
  • 90.5¢ → 81¢-9.5 ptsafter a signal from Ukrainian Media
  • 89.5¢ → 81¢-8.5 ptsafter a signal from Ukrainian Public Broadcaster
  • 81¢ → 99.6¢+18.6 ptsafter a signal from Ukrainian Media
  • 81¢ → 100¢+19 ptsafter a signal from Ukrainska Pravda news outlet
  • 81¢ → 100¢+19 ptsafter a signal from Reuters
  • 81¢ → 100¢+19 ptsafter a signal from Ukrainian Media
  • 81¢ → 100¢+19 ptsafter a signal from Ukrainian Public Broadcaster
  • 81¢ → 100¢+19 ptsafter a signal from cgtneurope
  • 81¢ → 100¢+19 ptsafter a signal from Ukrainian Media
  • 81¢ → 100¢+19 ptsafter a signal from News

What moved the odds?

YesUkrainian Public Broadcaster95%match
The People's Deputies met with candidates for the positions of Defense Minister Khmara and Foreign Minister Sybiga. According to the Verkhovna Rada, during the meeting they talked about the tasks and challenges facing the state, as well as the candidates' visions of work priorities. [in reply to: The Rada has received a proposal from President Zelenskyy to appoint Yevhen Khmara as Defense Minister and Andriy Sybiga as Foreign Minister. This is reported by People's Deputies Honcharenko, Zheleznyak and Gerashchenko. According to other People's Deputies who spoke to our journalists, meetings of parliamentary factions with candidates for the positions are scheduled for today and tomorrow morning. And tomorrow, August 19, there will be meetings of specialized committees and consideration of the appointment of ministers in the hall.]

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$11K

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Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by August 31? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.