WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on July 15? Odds fell to 50% on Jul 15, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on July 15? On , the market’s odds fell from 66¢ to 50¢ (-16 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Reuters. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match66¢
+5m69.5¢
+30m50¢
+1h50¢
1h move-16 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

NoReuters98%match
U.S. Crude Oil Futures Settle at $79.60/bbl, Up 26 Cents, 0.33 PCT

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$654

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WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on July 15? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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