Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in August? Odds jumped to 88% on Aug 5, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in August? On , the market’s odds jumped from 64¢ to 87.5¢ (+23.5 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from News. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match64¢
+5m65¢
+30m87¢
+1h87.5¢
1h move+23.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Aug 5, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 65¢ → 87.5¢+22.5 ptsafter a signal from News

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

YesNews95%match
The global gold exchange price has risen above $4,200 per troy ounce for the first time since July 6 – trading data
YesNews95%match
URGENT The global exchange price of gold rose above $4,200 per troy ounce for the first time since July 6

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$8K

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Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in August? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in August 2026? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.