Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? Odds jumped to 98% on Aug 4, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? On , the market’s odds jumped from 69.5¢ to 97.7¢ (+28.2 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from cnn.com. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match69.5¢
+5m73.5¢
+30m76.5¢
+1h97.7¢
1h move+28.2 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Neutralcnn.com97%match
Live: Cori Bush looks to reclaim her Missouri 1st District seat in rematch against Wesley Bell

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$292K

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Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.