Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? Odds jumped to 66% on Sep 20, 2026

OpenMove

Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? On , the market’s odds jumped from 54.2¢ to 65.8¢ (+11.6 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from alakhbarnews.

How did the odds move?

At match54.2¢
+5m57.7¢
+30m68.1¢
+1h65.8¢
1h move+11.6 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Noalakhbarnews95%match
Moscow: Attempts to interfere in Russian elections have failed. According to statistics from the Russian news agency RIA Novosti, voter turnout in the State Duma elections exceeded the rates recorded in the 1993, 2003, 2016, and 2021 elections, reaching 56.57%. Read the full article here:

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 69% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES69¢
NO31¢

Vol$115K

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Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.