Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? Odds jumped to 27% on Sep 20, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? On , the market’s odds jumped from 18.3¢ to 27.2¢ (+9 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Venezuela State-Backed TV. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match18.3¢
+5m18.3¢
+30m18.8¢
+1h27.2¢
+24h22.2¢
1h move+9 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Sep 20, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 41.4¢ → 31.7¢-9.7 ptsafter a signal from alakhbarnews

What moved the odds?

NoVenezuela State-Backed TV96%match
Russia prepares for the final day of parliamentary elections Parliamentary elections in the Russian Federation concluded with a 44.38% turnout, despite attempted cyberattacks. All 450 seats in the State Duma will be up for renewal, and although there were attempts at interference, the electoral system was unaffected. The day proceeded normally, highlighting the resilience of the Russian democratic process. #OdetteDíaz

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$250K

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Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.