Will Victor Marx win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by 2–3%? Odds fell to 13% on Jul 10, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will Victor Marx win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by 2–3%? On , the market’s odds fell from 42.3¢ to 13.3¢ (-29 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from theguardian.com. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match42.3¢
+5m41.3¢
+30m22.4¢
+1h13.3¢
+24h0.1¢
1h move-29 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Neutraltheguardian.com99%match
Live: Victor Marx wins Republican primary for Colorado governor, Associated Press reports

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$573

Follow this market

Will Victor Marx win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by 2–3%? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Colorado Governor Republican Primary Margin of Victory — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.