Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million? Odds jumped to 99% on Jul 21, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million? On , the market’s odds jumped from 89.5¢ to 99¢ (+9.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from axios. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match89.5¢
+5m98.5¢
+30m98.6¢
+1h99¢
+24h95.5¢
1h move+9.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Yesaxios97%match
World Cup final breaks viewership records

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$397K

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Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for World Cup Final: U.S. Viewership — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.