Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%? Odds jumped to 96% on Aug 13, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%? On , the market’s odds jumped from 78.5¢ to 95.5¢ (+17 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from News. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match78.5¢
+5m95.5¢
+30m95.5¢
+1h95.5¢
1h move+17 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

YesNews94%match
UK GDP for April-June quarter increased 0.4% compared to the previous quarter.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$6K

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Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.