Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? Odds fell to 60% on Jul 30, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? On , the market’s odds fell from 68.5¢ to 59.5¢ (-9 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Reuters. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match68.5¢
+5m68.5¢
+30m61¢
+1h59.5¢
1h move-9 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

YesReuters95%match
BoE Sees Underlying Q2 GDP Growth of +0.1% (June: Around +0.2%), Expected to Slow to Around 0% in Q3; Headline Q2 GDP Growth Seen at 0.3%

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$15K

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Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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