Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Typhoon" at Japan landfall? Odds jumped to 76% on Aug 7, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Typhoon" at Japan landfall? On , the market’s odds jumped from 59.5¢ to 76¢ (+16.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from newsdig.tbs.co.jp. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match59.5¢
+5m72¢
+30m79.5¢
+1h76¢
+24h0.5¢
1h move+16.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Yesnewsdig.tbs.co.jp97%match
[Typhoon Information] Large and powerful Typhoon No. 13 (Dolphin) will directly hit Okinawa... Maximum instantaneous wind speed of 55 m/s. Amami and Okinawa should be on high alert for strong winds and high waves. There is also a possibility of linear rainband formation. What will happen to Typhoon No. 15? Detailed forecast of its path and strength. Nationwide weather with images. Japan Meteorological Agency

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$18K

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Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Typhoon" at Japan landfall? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for What intensity will Typhoon Dolphin have at landfall in Japan? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.